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Cancer
Cardio
Lipid
Metab
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Sasaki, K; Margonis, GA; Moro, A; Wang, J; Wagner, D; Gagnière, J; Shin, JK; D'Silva, M; Sahara, K; Miyata, T; Kusakabe, J; Beyer, K; Dupré, A; Kamphues, C; Imai, K; Baba, H; Endo, I; Taura, K; Cho, JY; Aucejo, F; Kornprat, P; Kreis, ME; Kim, JM; Burkhart, R; David, Kwon, CH; Pawlik, TM.
Nontumor related risk score: A new tool to improve prediction of prognosis after hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases.
Surgery. 2022; 171(6):1580-1587
Doi: 10.1016/j.surg.2022.01.030
Web of Science
PubMed
FullText
FullText_MUG
- Co-authors Med Uni Graz
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Kornprat Peter
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Wagner Doris
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- Abstract:
- BACKGROUND: Prognostic stratification of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis based solely on tumor-related factors has only moderate discriminatory ability. We hypothesized that the inclusion of nontumor related factors can improve prediction of long-term prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis. METHODS: Nontumor related laboratory markers were assessed utilizing a training cohort from 2 U.S. institutions (n = 1,205). Factors independently associated with prognosis were used to develop a nontumor related prognostic score. The discriminatory ability, assessed by Harrell's C-statistics (C-index) and net reclassification improvement, was validated and compared with 3 commonly used tumor-related clinical risk scores: Fong clinical risk scores, m-clinical risk scores, and Genetic and Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score in an external validation cohort from 5 Asian (n = 1,307) and 3 European (n = 1,058) institutions. The discriminatory ability of nontumor related prognostic score combined with each of these 3 tumor-related prognostic scores was also estimated. RESULTS: Alkaline phosphatase (hazard ratio 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-1.84), albumin (hazard ratio 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.89), and mean corpuscular volume (hazard ratio 19.0, per log unit; 95% confidence interval, 4.79-75.0) were each independently associated with increased risk of death after resection of colorectal cancer liver metastasis (all P < .05). In turn, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, and mean corpuscular volume were combined to form a nontumor related prognostic score (2.942 × mean corpuscular volume + 0.399 × alkaline phosphatase-0.339 × albumin-12) × 10 (median, 16; range, 1-30). The nontumor related prognostic score had good-to-modest discriminatory ability in the external cohort (C-index = 0.58), which was comparable to the 3 established tumor-related prognostic scores (C-index: Fong clinical risk scores, 0.53, m-clinical risk scores, 0.55, GAME, 0.58). The addition of the nontumor related prognostic score to the tumor-related prognostic scores enhanced the discriminatory ability in the entire study cohort (C-index: nontumor related score+Fong, 0.60, nontumor related score+m-clinical risk scores, 0.61, nontumor related score+GAME, 0.64), as well reclassification improvement (42.5, 42.7%, and 21.2%, respectively). CONCLUSION: Nontumor related prognostic information may help improve the prognostic stratification of patients after resection of colorectal cancer liver metastasis. The nontumor related prognostic score may be combined with tumor-related prognostic tools to enhance prognostic stratification of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis.
- Find related publications in this database (using NLM MeSH Indexing)
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Albumins - administration & dosage
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Alkaline Phosphatase - administration & dosage
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Colorectal Neoplasms - pathology
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Hepatectomy - administration & dosage
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Humans - administration & dosage
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Liver Neoplasms - secondary
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Prognosis - administration & dosage
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Retrospective Studies - administration & dosage
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Risk Factors - administration & dosage