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Schwabl, P; Bucsics, T; Soucek, K; Mandorfer, M; Bota, S; Blacky, A; Hirschl, AM; Ferlitsch, A; Trauner, M; Peck-Radosavljevic, M; Reiberger, T.
Risk factors for development of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and subsequent mortality in cirrhotic patients with ascites.
Liver Int. 2015; 35(9):2121-2128
Doi: 10.1111/liv.12795
Web of Science
PubMed
FullText
FullText_MUG
- Co-Autor*innen der Med Uni Graz
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Trauner Michael
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- Abstract:
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Patients with ascites are at risk for developing spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) - a severe complication associated with high mortality. We aimed to identify risk factors for SBP development and mortality to optimize stratification for primary prophylaxis and therapeutic strategies to improve survival.
575 patients with cirrhosis and ascites undergoing paracentesis at a tertiary care hospital were included in this retrospective cohort study. Demographical, clinical and laboratory parameters were recorded at first paracentesis and during follow-up. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of SBP development and mortality.
Child-Pugh stage C (OR: 3.323; P = 0.009), ascitic fluid polymorph-nuclear cell (PMN) count (OR: 1.544; P = 0.028) and low serum sodium (OR: 0.917; P = 0.029) emerged as independent risk factors for SBP development. SBP-naïve patients undergoing paracentesis and presenting with PMN-counts ≥100 cells/μl, or hyponatraemia <125 mM were at highest risk for developing SBP. Increases in MELD and CRP levels indicated SBP development, while no changes where observed in a matched control group with sterile ascites at multiple paracenteses. MELD score (OR: 1.565; P = 0.001) and CRP (OR: 1.067; P = 0.037) were identified as independent risk factors for 30-day mortality after SBP diagnosis. In particular SBP patients with MELD≥22, CRP ≥3.5 mg/dl and development of grade III/IV hepatic encephalopathy showed highest mortality.
Low serum sodium levels, Child-Pugh stage C and elevated ascites PMN counts (≥100 cells/μl) indicate a significant risk for SBP development. SBP-related mortality is highest in patients with MELD≥22 and elevated CRP levels.
© 2015 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
- Find related publications in this database (using NLM MeSH Indexing)
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Aged -
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Ascites - complications
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Ascites - etiology
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Ascitic Fluid - microbiology
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Ascitic Fluid -
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Bacterial Infections - complications
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Female -
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Humans -
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Kaplan-Meier Estimate -
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Liver Cirrhosis - complications
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Logistic Models -
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Male -
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Middle Aged -
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Multivariate Analysis -
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Paracentesis -
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Peritonitis - diagnosis
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Peritonitis - microbiology
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Peritonitis - mortality
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Retrospective Studies -
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Risk Factors -
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Sodium - blood
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Tertiary Care Centers -
- Find related publications in this database (Keywords)
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ascites
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cirrhosis
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development
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mortality
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risk factors
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spontaneous bacterial peritonitis