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Herzog, SA; Paul, M; Held, L.
Heterogeneity in vaccination coverage explains the size and occurrence of measles epidemics in German surveillance data.
Epidemiol Infect. 2011; 139(4): 505-515. Doi: 10.1017/S0950268810001664 [OPEN ACCESS]
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Leading authors Med Uni Graz
Herzog Sereina Annik
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Abstract:
The objective of this study was to characterize empirically the association between vaccination coverage and the size and occurrence of measles epidemics in Germany. In order to achieve this we analysed data routinely collected by the Robert Koch Institute, which comprise the weekly number of reported measles cases at all ages as well as estimates of vaccination coverage at the average age of entry into the school system. Coverage levels within each federal state of Germany are incorporated into a multivariate time-series model for infectious disease counts, which captures occasional outbreaks by means of an autoregressive component. The observed incidence pattern of measles for all ages is best described by using the log proportion of unvaccinated school starters in the autoregressive component of the model.
Find related publications in this database (using NLM MeSH Indexing)
Adolescent -
Adult -
Aged -
Aged, 80 and over -
Child -
Child, Preschool -
Disease Outbreaks -
Disease Outbreaks - epidemiology
Humans -
Incidence -
Infant -
Infant, Newborn -
Measles - epidemiology Measles - prevention and control
Measles-Mumps-Rubella Vaccine - administration and dosage Measles-Mumps-Rubella Vaccine - immunology
Middle Aged -
Models, Statistical -
Vaccination - utilization
Young Adult -

Find related publications in this database (Keywords)
Infectious disease epidemiology
measles (rubeola)
MMR vaccination
modelling
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